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Perplexity’s blockbuster investor demand shows just how wild the AI bubble has become

Perplexity cofounder and CEO Aravind Srinivas.
Perplexity cofounder and CEO Aravind Srinivas.
  • AI search engine startup Perplexity has been raising back-to-back funding rounds.
  • The startup got fundraise offers at valuations from $14 billion to $50 billion in just a few months.
  • Some investors worry that the startup is getting ahead of itself as the market fears an AI bubble.

In the new AI gold rush, startups aren’t raising money every year; they’re raising massive rounds every month. Perplexity, the buzzy AI search challenger to Google, has become the poster child for back-to-back fundraising, facing investor demand at valuations from $14 billion to as high as $50 billion in just a few months, Business Insider has learned.

The frenzy is fueling investor FOMO — and fears of a modern-day bubble.

Perplexity and its peers are buoyed by AI juggernauts like OpenAI and Anthropic, which continue to raise money at eye-popping valuations. OpenAI was most recently valued at $500 billion in a secondary deal, according to Bloomberg, a rising tide that’s lifting other AI boats.

Business Insider reported in August that Perplexity was raising more money at a $20 billion valuation, just a month after the startup had grabbed fresh funding at an $18 billion valuation, according to Bloomberg. Two months before that, Perplexity had raised at a $14 billion valuation, according to The Wall Street Journal.

Two people close to the company said Perplexity has recently fielded offers from outside investors at valuations as high as $50 billion. Those people didn’t say how serious the offers were or whether Perplexity engaged them.

“The demand to invest in that company is beyond anything that we’ve seen in our history,” one Perplexity investor said.

Perplexity’s head of communication, Jesse Dwyer, said Perplexity doesn’t comment on its fundraising efforts or valuation, but said the company has a “crystal-clear view of its value.”

“We have never considered any numbers other than the ones we know to be true,” he said in an email to Business Insider.

The constant comparison with other top AI companies and the endless stream of investor excitement may be both a blessing and a curse for surging startups like Perplexity.

The startup faces outsize demand from both primary and secondary markets — Perplexity ranked #7 on Forge Global’s list of companies attracting the most secondary investor interest on its platform in the third quarter, just behind Anthropic at #5, OpenAI at #2, and xAI at #1. Its fundraising pace is dizzying, and its valuation sizable, given Perplexity’s age and revenue — Perplexity is three years old and was bringing in over $150 million in annual recurring revenue by mid-2025, Business Insider previously reported.

“The benchmarking inevitably takes place in founders’ minds and in investors’ minds, and it’s kind of hard to escape that,” said Kevin Spain, a partner at Emergence Capital, of top AI startups in general. “If other comparable companies are raising at a certain price, that is going to be the expectation.”

At the same time, more investors have been sounding alarm bells about a bubble amid rising revenue multiples and circular AI deals. Another Perplexity investor said that as Perplexity’s valuation rises, its chances of being acquired or going public at that new price appear slimmer.

That creates a dilemma for investors in startups like Perplexity that raise back-to-back rounds, which open opportunities for early investors to sell some of their shares while simultaneously intensifying their FOMO: What if Perplexity’s valuation actually makes sense in an age where AI could rewrite entire economic playbooks?

Repeated markups can be especially conflicting for growth-stage investors, said Terrence Rohan, the managing director of Otherwise Fund, which invested early in Figma and Vanta.

“It can create internal debate and dialogue, 100%, if a startup is getting marked up beyond the firm’s internal conviction,” Rohan said. “It’s like, hey, they’re raising again. We need to commit another $50 million just to hold our ownership. We don’t quite have conviction here yet, but these other guys do. And if we don’t, we could look silly.”

Raising for name recognition

As constant fundraising pads AI companies’ balance sheets, it’s also helping them build brand power.

OpenAI’s recent fundraises have sent shockwaves across the tech ecosystem. Startups next in line are watching their valuations climb as OpenAI raises the ceiling.

“The zeitgeist right now is more about raising aggressively,” Rohan said. “That’s seemingly creating reputation and brands in itself, as opposed to raising just on the traction or the business case.”

Consumers make up the foundation of Perplexity’s business. The company’s consumer-facing search engine offers both free and $20-a-month tiers, and it’s begun branching into e-commerce, launching a shopping feature in November. Perplexity has multiple enterprise deals, too, selling its premium search engine to companies like Zoom (which also offers a Perplexity-powered AI companion to Zoom business customers) and Nvidia (an investor in Perplexity).

Perplexity cofounder and CEO Aravind Srinivas speaks at TechCrunch Disrupt 2024.
Perplexity cofounder and CEO Aravind Srinivas.

Perplexity also drew attention this year for making multiple public offers to acquire or merge with assets bigger than Perplexity itself. In July, the startup announced a $34.5 billion bid to buy Google’s Chrome browser in the midst of the tech giant’s antitrust brawl with the Justice Department. Earlier, in January, Perplexity submitted a bid to merge with ByteDance’s TikTok.

Wall Street analysts and investors largely viewed Perplexity’s Chrome bid as a publicity stunt, with some criticizing the move and others lauding it as marketing genius.

Dwyer rejected the idea that the Google Chrome bid was a stunt. “As much as I’d love to take credit for a publicity stunt, the reality is this was a very serious offer, he said. “Due to the ongoing trial, our role in it, and the centrality of Chrome to the upcoming ruling, it would have been inappropriate NOT to transparently share the offer with the press. It wasn’t publicity, it was integrity.”

When asked about criticisms from Perplexity’s investors on the bid, Dwyer said, “[existing] investors who consider our Chrome offer a publicity stunt are either miffed that they weren’t asked to participate in funding it, or they simply don’t understand the new importance of the browser layer in the age of AI (which would also explain why we didn’t ask them to help us fund it).”

Srinivas has further eschewed VC formalities by ditching pitch decks altogether, he said in an interview with Berkeley Haas earlier this month.

“I just write a memo and I tell them you can do a Q&A and ask whatever you want,” Srinivas said of potential investors. “Anything else that is not internal data, you can ask Perplexity. Like, it already knows everything.”

AI rewrites investing rules

Ballooning valuations with little accompanying revenue growth have become a particular concern for some bubble-wary investors.

In the wake of the 2021 venture boom, startup valuation-to-revenue ratios fell from triple-digit peaks to single digits. But AI has turned those standards upside down. With over $150 million in annual recurring revenue and a $20 billion valuation, Perplexity’s multiple easily exceeds 100x.

Perplexity also made its AI browser Comet free this month, shortly after pausing new advertising deals to reevaluate how advertising affects its user experience.

Perplexity said making Comet free would help users combat “AI slop” by offering a search tool that prioritizes higher-quality sources. It’s also a clear move to help Perplexity capture more users in its quest to overtake Google Search. Still, any resulting cut to Perplexity’s revenue could stretch its multiple even further.

Spain said high multiples tend to matter more to growth stage investors: “The closer you get to the point of exit, the more you care about the multiple you’re paying.” But at early stages, what matters most is how the startup’s revenue could grow and what valuation those investors believe the company could ultimately achieve, he said.

Perplexity’s proposed exit timeline would give those investors more room to breathe. Srinivas said in a March Reddit post that Perplexity has “no plans of IPOing before 2028.” And Perplexity is growing fast — its $150 million annualized revenue in mid-2025 was more than quadruple its ARR, a projection of a company’s annual revenue, a year prior, Business Insider reported in August. As Perplexity aims to eclipse Google Chrome, which some analysts estimate could be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, its markups aren’t without reason.

Plus, the advent of AI is prompting some investors to reevaluate what a “reasonable” valuation even is.

“In this era, there’s a belief that we might see exit valuations unlike any we’ve ever seen,” Spain said. “If you believe AI is going to be transformative in certain industries, you can see a world where you’re going to have exits that are just abnormally large relative to what we’ve seen historically. I think that’s the right conversation to have as an investor.”

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‘Disposable apps’ are the hot new thing in tech, as AI makes coding easier and quicker

Tom Occhino, chief product officer at Vercel
Tom Occhino, chief product officer at Vercel

Tom Occhino, chief product officer at Vercel, knows a lot about AI, open-source technology, and software development. He spent over a decade at Meta, where he helped build React, a wildly popular framework for developing web user interfaces and apps.

Tom was one of the first technologists to introduce me to the idea of “disposable apps.”

AI coding tools, including Vercel’s v0 service, are making software development easier and quicker. One outcome of this: You can build an app now and after you’ve used it, you can just throw it away. Why? Because the upfront investment in creating software has fallen so much lately.

Here are some “throwaway apps” Occhino has seen in the wild this year:

  • Folks will paste a CSV file or spreadsheet into v0 and get a quick and easy interactive dashboard.
  • Vercel had a hackathon kickoff and someone put all the information about the event into a v0 app that they used to present the details to their team.
  • Occhino’s wife organized a trip to Europe for her and some friends and turned a planning document into a bespoke travel app with day-by-day agendas.

Occhino has built a few of these himself. He has a web app that helps him count stuff, such as the number of light switches in his home, and the number of desks in Vercel’s office. You can check that one out here.

He spun up another app that gives him instant information on his location, wherever and whenever he needs it. Occhino said he uses this one all the time.

Why can you see these two apps, when they’re supposed to be disposable? “I actually use them so they’re not really ‘throw away,'” Occhino told me.

Sign up for BI’s Tech Memo newsletter here. Reach out to me via email at abarr@businessinsider.com.

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Apple earnings updates: Wall Street is bullish on iPhone demand, AI, as market cap tops $4 trillion

Apple CEO Tim Cook holding an iPhone
Apple is set to report its earnings for the fourth quarter on Thursday.

Hot off its historic jump to a $4 trillion market cap, Apple will report earnings for its fiscal fourth quarter after the closing bell on Thursday.

Wall Street is highly bullish on iPhone demand, which analysts see as the key driver of a consensus-beating report. Investors should also be listening for updates on the company’s AI ambitions, as some commentators this year have feared that Apple’s mega-cap peers are pulling ahead in the AI race.

The iPhone maker will report results shortly after the closing bell, typically around 4:30 p.m. ET, with the analyst call scheduled for 5 p.m. ET.

The $1.1 billion tariffs question

While Tim Cook has managed to curry favor with President Donald Trump, Apple has still felt the bite of tariffs — $800 million in added costs in its fiscal third quarter, to be precise.

That number was expected to grow considerably in this most recent quarter, with Apple guiding that its tariff-related costs would be around $1.1 billion.

We’ll soon see if it managed to mitigate those costs down below that estimate — or whether the impact was worse than anticipated. Analysts will also be eyeing Apple’s tariff guidance for next quarter.

What’s Apple cooking up in the lab? Don’t expect any big announcements until next year.

With Meta’s Ray-Ban AI glasses selling well, Apple is rumored to be exploring its own smart glasses while it continues work to slim down its bulky Vision Pro headset.

When asked about the Vision Pro on Apple’s last earnings call, Cook signaled there was more to come.

“We continue to be very focused on it,” Cook previously said. “I don’t want to get into the road map on it, but this is an area that we really believe in.”

Apple is also reportedly working on some AI home devices, including one with a robot arm, as well as a foldable iPhone expected to launch as soon as 2026. Samsung, Google, and Huawei have already entered the foldable phone space.

Third-party data suggests a strong sales start to the iPhone 17 lineup

Demand for the iPhone 17 lineup appears strong, according to third-party data, with the entry-level 17 and high-end Pro models the early standouts.

Apple’s newest iPhone lineup is outperforming last year’s models in both the US and China, two of its most important markets, according to data from Counterpoint Research. Sales of the iPhone 17 series were estimated to be 14% higher than those of the iPhone 16 lineup during the first 10 days on the market.

In the US, Counterpoint estimates that demand was strongest for the iPhone 17 Pro Max, the priciest model in the lineup, through the first two weekends of its release.

A look at tech companies’ rising capex
Stacked column chart

Don’t be surprised if analysts focus some questions around Apple’s capital expenditures and AI investments — it’s been a theme on other Big Tech earnings calls this week.

Tech companies are pouring more money than ever into AI, which has some investors worried. After all, the hot debate right now in Silicon Valley is whether we’re in an AI bubble…

Asked about capex growth on Apple’s last earnings call, CFO Kevin Parekh said that “a significant portion of the driver of growth that you’re seeing now is really driven by some of our AI-related investments.”

Apple can expect to hear more questions about the iPhone Air

The thin and sleek form factor of the iPhone Air turned heads when it was introduced at Apple’s September event.

At 5.6 millimeters — Apple’s thinnest iPhone yet — the frame comes with a smaller battery than Pro models and no physical SIM card. To make up for what it lacks in battery life, Apple released an external battery pack alongside the iPhone Air, which costs $99. But Apple’s battery-rich Pro models, with top-of-the-line cameras, are typically the company’s most popular, and reports have begun to emerge that Apple is cutting back on Air production.

A Keybanc survey of more than 2,000 iPhone owners found weak demand for the Air model compared to the strength of the Pro and Pro Max. Three percent of respondents said they upgraded to the iPhone Air, while 41% went for the iPhone 17 Pro Max.

While Apple’s most recent quarter will only include a week or so of sales from the 17 lineup, execs will likely provide some color on how the Air is doing so far.

Apple continues to show its ability to finesse its supply chain amid tariff pressures.

US shoppers discovered earlier this month that the M5 Vision Pro, a refreshed model, is labeled as being a product of Vietnam. A few creators noted the change online as they unboxed their new Vision Pros. It’s the latest example of Apple making changes to its supply chain for US-bound products to mitigate its tariff costs.

The original Vision Pro, with an M2 chip, was manufactured in China ahead of its 2024 release. Around the same time, Apple was exploring ramping up supply chain options outside of China.

Earlier this year, Tim Cook said Apple expects “the majority of iPhones sold in the US will have India as their country of origin” in the June quarter.

Tim Cook’s promotion of American production

Don’t be surprised if Tim Cook leans into Apple’s work in the US.

Earlier this year, Cook committed to investing $600 billion in US manufacturing amid President Donald Trump’s tariff push. In August, Cook presented Trump with a gift, an American-made glass plaque set on a 24-karat gold base.

Cook has proven to be a savvy political navigator — and it appears to be paying off. After receiving the gift, Trump said companies like Apple “will be treated really well.”

Cook, alongside other tech leaders, joined Trump for a dinner event in September. The Apple CEO addressed the president in a speech, praising his efforts to bring more manufacturing to the US.

Earlier this week, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang gave an America-themed presentation during Nvidia’s GTC October keynote.

Apple (lacking) Intelligence

There’s an argument to be made that Apple’s slow start in AI hasn’t hurt it all that much — at least not yet. Yet with all the headlines around its AI talent departing, Apple would do well to reassure the market that big and exciting things are coming. One of those is a long-anticipated overhaul of Siri with Apple Intelligence, touted for next year.

Then there are reports of new home devices and AR glasses — all of which will need good AI. Don’t expect Tim Cook to break character and start gossiping about future products, but this would be a good time for a bit of extra candor.

CFRA Research eyeing More clarity on tariffs.

Apple looks like it’s in a better position heading into its earnings report than it has been in a year, according to Angelo Zino, a senior equity analyst at CFRA Research.

Zino pointed to how investors now have more clarity relating to Apple’s regulatory issues and the potential impact of tariffs.

“Recent comments about tariffs tied to the company from the Trump administration make us feel much more comfortable about the margin outlook ahead,” he added.

Demand for iPhones also looks solid heading into the print. CFRA said it was “conservatively” estimating that iPhone revenue was on track to grow 6% for the current quarter and 5% for the upcoming quarter.

CFRA issued a “Buy” rating on Apple and a $280 price target, implying 4% upside from the stock’s current levels.

Bank of America: Long-term growth in focus.

Bank of America has a strong outlook for Apple over the next five years. Analysts pointed to revenues potentially increasing due to AI and its possible impact on coming product offerings.

Analysts also said they saw “strength” in new iPhone demand, and estimated that total iPhone unit sales could reach 57 million for the current quarter, compared to consensus estimates of 54 million.

“Reiterate Buy on strong capital returns, eventual winner in AI at the edge & optionality from new products/markets,” BofA said on their rating of the stock.

Analysts lifted their price target for the stock from $270 to $320 a share, implying 19% upside from Wednesday’s price.

JPMorgan: Strong outlook through year-end.

JPMorgan said it expected Apple earnings to “track modestly better” from September through the end of the year, thanks to strong demand for the iPhone 17.

The bank also said it expects Apple to post solid revenue growth in the first quarter of its 2026 fiscal year.

“AAPL shares are heading into the upcoming earnings print with a greater halo of positivity than any time in the past year,” analysts wrote in a recent client note, adding that they believed that chatter around Apple’s investment thesis had narrowed down to the strength of new iPhone sales.

Melius Research analysts see Apple ‘getting its groove back’

Apple stock could be boosted by a few catalysts contained in its report, Melius Research said.

The research firm said it believed that the company’s sales in China would pick up over the near term. Profit margins could also improve on demand for Apple’s new lineup of iPhones, analysts said, adding that they believed Apple was “getting its groove back.”

“We think there is more to go as a beat and raise could be on the horizon when it reports,” analysts wrote of the stock’s momentum.”Bottom Line: Apple is on a mission to silence its critics. We see upside to sales in China into CY26 and momentum in new models overall.”

The firm reiterated its “Buy” rating on the stock and issued a price target of $290 a share, implying 8% upside from current levels.

Goldman Sachs predicts an iPhone-driven earnings beat.

Analysts at Goldman said they expect Apple to beat on earnings for the quarter, driven largely by strong demand for its new iPhones.

The bank estimated that iPhone product revenue could see a 10% year-over-year increase to $50.8 billion, compared to the consensus estimate of $49.8 billion in revenue for the quarter.

Apple could also see its services revenue grow 13% year-over-year, thanks to continued momentum across subscription services like iCloud+ and AppleCare+, analysts added.

Still, “key areas of debate” among investors include the sustainability of iPhone demand due to trade policy uncertainty, as well as risks to the company’s App Store revenue, the bank said.

Goldman reiterated its “Buy” rating for the stock and issued a price target of $279 a share, implying 3% upside from current levels.

Wall Street is expecting Apple to report $102.1 billion of revenue for Q4.

Fourth Quarter

  • Revenue estimate $102.19 billion
  • Products revenue estimate $73.49 billion
  • Mac revenue estimate $8.55 billion
  • iPad revenue estimate $6.97 billion
  • Wearables, home and accessories estimate $8.64 billion
  • Services revenue estimate $28.18 billion
  • Greater China rev. estimate $16.43 billion
  • Americas rev. estimate $44.45 billion
  • Europe revenue estimate $26.36 billion
  • Japan revenue estimate $6.41 billion
  • Rest of Asia Pacific revenue estimate $8.08 billion
  • EPS estimate $1.77
  • Total operating expenses estimate $15.75 billion
  • Research and development operating expenses estimate $8.8
    billion
  • SG&A operating expense estimate $6.96 billion
  • Gross margin estimate $47.41 billion
  • Cash and cash equivalents estimate $51.67 billion
  • Cost of sales estimate $54.47 billion
  • Total current assets estimate $144.92 billion
  • Total current liabilities estimate $159.68 billion

    First Quarter

  • Capital expenditure estimate $3.97 billion

    2026

  • Capital expenditure estimate $15.03 billion

Source: Bloomberg

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Amazon Q3 earnings updates: Analysts expect answers on AI progress and AWS as AMZN lags other Mag 7 stocks

Amazon CEO Andy Jassy
Amazon CEO Andy Jassy

Amazon is heading into its latest earnings report as the laggard of the Magnificent Seven this year, and investors are looking for some key updates that could spark new momentum.

Specifically, Wall Street wants to know more about its AI ambitions and how it plans to position itself against stiff competition from other Big Tech players like Microsoft and Alphabet. AWS, retail margins, and any lingering concerns over the impact of tariffs will also be on investors’ radar.

The call with analysts is scheduled for 5 p.m. ET.

We could get insight into Amazon’s holiday plans and early results

Amazon’s Prime Day event in October has become an early chance for shoppers to score holiday deals, and other retailers have even debuted their own versions. On Thursday’s call, Amazon could provide an early glimpse into how holiday shopping is shaping up.

Expect Amazon to play a big role once the holiday shopping season starts in earnest. About 73% of shoppers surveyed by marketing platform Omnisend said that Amazon is their go-to source for deals on Black Friday and Cyber Monday.

Ads have been a bright spot for Amazon

Amazon’s ad business has been finding potential growth opportunities lately.

A recent deal with Netflix will let brands buy ad slots on the streamer through Amazon’s own demand-side platform. The move rattled shares of adtech rival The Trade Desk after it was announced.

Expect an update on Amazon’s capex and AI investments

Amazon is expected to give a capital expenditures update on its earnings call this afternoon. Last quarter, Amazon’s capex totaled $31.4 billion, and the company said the figure was “reasonably representative” of its quarterly capex rate for the rest of the year. It’s largely driven by investments in AWS — particularly AI and tech infrastructure — and Amazon’s fulfillment and transportation network.

Capex growth is a hot-button issue across Big Tech. The following chart shows how spending stacks up so far.

Stacked column chart
Amazon’s grocery business got a shuffle this summer

Investors will be listening for any details that CEO Andy Jassy and the company offer about Amazon’s grocery business in light of a recent reboot.

In June, a memo obtained by Business Insider showed that Whole Foods, Amazon Fresh, and Amazon Go were being united under a single “One Grocery” operation eight years after Amazon acquired Whole Foods for $13.7 billion.

The company launched a $5 private-label grocery line earlier this month aimed at luring value hunters away from Walmart and Aldi.

Wedbush says get ready for a highly bullish report

Wedbush has high hopes for the tech giant heading into the call, maintaining a $280 price target, up from its previous target of $250 a share.

The firm’s analysts predict that it is poised for a breakout in 2026 and likely to shake off the volatility that has weighed on the stock recently. They expect Amazon to reach $99.6 billion in full-year revenue, and predict Q3 revenue of $20.1 billion.

“Heading into the print, we are most focused on AWS momentum and emerging AI monetization, rising operating margins supported by the mix shift to higher-margin revenue, capex requirements to support infrastructure and AI investments, and persistent growth within the advertising business,” Wedbush analysts wrote in a preview note.

They also cited several immediate-term catalysts, including savings from automation and robotics progress, and the commercialization of Alexa’s new AI capabilities.

Got more questions about Amazon’s layoffs? Check out our livestream at 2 p.m.

Business Insider’s Chief Tech Correspondent Eugene Kim and Chief Correspondent Aki Ito will join Deputy Executive Editor Dan DeFrancesco to talk about Amazon’s decision this week to lay off 14,000 employees in a livestream at 2 p.m. ET. AI’s role in the layoffs will be a key topic.

Got a question that you want the panel to answer? Send it to moderator Dan DeFrancesco.

Amazon’s layoffs raise a big question for Wall Street

Amazon said on Tuesday that it would cut 14,000 corporate jobs in one of the biggest rounds of layoffs in the company’s history.

It raised a big question for Wall Street: Is the company cutting jobs because growth is stalling, or is the retail giant’s big bet on AI making it more efficient? Business Insider’s Alistair Barr wrote in Thursday’s Tech Memo newsletter that Amazon’s latest quarterly earnings report could answer that all-important question.

Revenue growth for Amazon Web Services, the company’s crucial cloud business, is the number to watch when Amazon reports this afternoon, Barr wrote.

For the third quarter, Wall Street expects AWS revenue to increase 18% year over year to $32.4 billion, according to Bloomberg.

UBS analysts see headwinds waning

UBS analysts are feeling optimistic heading into the report, although they anticipate some “noise” around operating income due to the company’s recent $2.5 billion settlement with the FTC.

The bank recently raised its price target for Amazon stock from $271 to $279, maintaining its Buy rating. While analysts said that they are waiting to see investment proof points from AWS, they still see the area as a likely growth driver for Amazon, as they expect multiple headwinds to wane in the near future.

“Overall, we continue to see the potential for upside across Amazon’s business segments, including e-commerce, cloud, advertising, and Kuiper / low earth orbit satellites,” analysts wrote in a recent earnings preview.

AWS, Amazon’s growth engine, is facing AI challenges

Investors will want to hear more about AWS’s latest AI strategy, including what it’s doing to attract new customers.

Early-stage startups are skipping traditional cloud spending and heading straight to model-training tools and niche providers. These companies are Amazon’s “blind spot,” according to an internal document seen by Business Insider. Amazon has traditionally relied on venture capital firms to find startups that could be new clients.

AWS also hired a new vice president of security services and observability this month, a sign that the unit is trying to improve security around its AI products.

JPMorgan flags concerns about AI plans

JPMorgan analysts said that while they believe Amazon has done a good job executing on retail sales and margin expansion, they’re worried about its positioning in the booming generative AI space.

“There is concern around AMZN’s GenAI positioning/strategy, relative gap to Azure/Google Cloud growth, & trajectory of 2H AWS growth pick-up,” they said. “There is also concern around the impact of tariffs & changes to the de minimis exemption on demand & OI margins.”

However, the analysts add that AWS growth acceleration will likely continue, and said that they expect AI supply chain gaps to ease, which they see as bullish for Amazon.

JPMorgan maintains an overweight rating and a $265 price target for Amazon stock.

Amazon lags the Magnificent 7 in stock returns
Magnificent 7 stock returns over the past 5 years

Amazon ranks last among the Magnificent Seven tech companies — and the broader S&P 500 — when it comes to stock performance over the last five years, Business Insider’s Joe Ciolli wrote in Thursday’s First Trade newsletter.

Amazon’s stock has returned 43% over that period, behind Meta’s 168%, Alphabet’s 253%, and Nvidia’s mammoth 1,490%.

On Wall Street, some interpret Amazon’s position on that chart as a sign that its AI strategy is struggling to compete with rivals.

Bank of America is optimistic about progress in key areas

BofA analysts are upbeat heading into the report, even as doubts swirl around Amazon’s AI strategy.

“Given healthy retail sales, strength in Online advertising, and July AWS layoffs, we see potential for operating income upside and are 4% above Street for GAAP operating profit at $20.4bn vs $19.7bn,” the analysts wrote.

“We believe Street expectations are for around 1-2% beat on US retail, AWS growth at 18-18.5% based on 3P data, and op. profit slightly above the high end of Amazon’s 3Q guidance range.”

The bank maintains a Buy rating on Amazon stock and a $272 price target, implying 21% upside from Wednesday’s price.

Wall Street analysts estimate Amazon will report revenue of $177.8 billion and EPS of $1.58 for Q3

Third Quarter

  • Net sales estimate $177.82 billion
  • Online stores net sales estimate $66.93 billion
  • Physical Stores net sales estimate $5.56 billion
  • Third-Party Seller Services net sales estimate $42.05 billion
  • Subscription Services net sales estimate $12.49 billion
  • Amazon Web Services net sales estimate $32.39 billion
  • North America net sales estimate $104.96 billion
  • International net sales estimate $40.77 billion
  • Third-party seller services net sales excluding F/X estimate
    +10.8%
  • Subscription services net sales excluding F/X estimate +10.7%
  • Amazon Web Services net sales excluding F/X estimate +17.9%
  • EPS estimate $1.58
  • Operating income estimate $19.72 billion
  • Operating margin estimate 11.1%
  • North America operating margin estimate +6.98%
  • International operating margin estimate 4.02%
  • Fulfillment expense estimate $27.49 billion
  • Seller unit mix estimate 60.7%

Fourth Quarter

  • Net sales estimate $208.45 billion
  • Operating income estimate $23.78 billion
  • Capital expenditure estimate $32.33 billion

Year

  • Capital expenditure estimate $118.76 billion

Source: Bloomberg

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American’s new Airbus A321XLR is finally crossing the Atlantic as the long-haul narrowbody race heats up

American's A321XLR.
American’s first-ever Airbus A321XLR.
  • American Airlines will fly its brand-new A321XLR between New York and Scotland beginning in March.
  • The super-range jet flies city pairs too thin for big planes or out of reach for similar-sized ones.
  • United Airlines will soon welcome its own A321XLR to replace existing Boeing 757 routes.

American Airlines is reviving a type of flying it hasn’t done in years: long-haul trips on single-aisle jets.

The carrier took delivery of its first Airbus A321XLR in October — a new narrowbody plane built specifically for long-distance routes.

With an extra fuel tank, the jet can fly about 5,400 miles, or up to 11 hours nonstop, while burning less fuel than previous-generation options.

American will first use the A321XLR on a domestic transcontinental route in December. But its long-haul debut comes on March 8, when the airline launches seasonal service between New York and Edinburgh, Scotland, through October 24.

Tickets go on sale November 3. Pricing isn’t yet public for the Edinburgh route, but roundtrip fares on the A321XLR’s first route, New York to Los Angeles, start at about $750 in economy and around $3,000 in business class in December.

American last flew a narrowbody across the Atlantic in 2019, relying on the Boeing 757. The plane’s eventual retirement, accelerated by the pandemic, was due to high fuel and maintenance costs.

The A321XLR is meant to fix the efficiency issue for American — and the airline has configured it for long-haul comfort.

Customers can expect a premium-heavy cabin, including lie-flat business-class seats and a dedicated premium economy section. The amenities include hot meals for all 155 passengers, with upgraded dining and amenities up front.

The enclosed AA A321XLR suite.
The new narrowbody business class cabin will appear on A321XLR transcontinental and transatlantic routes.

The Edinburgh route will complement American’s existing widebody service from Philadelphia, while adding to a growing list of seasonal transatlantic flights such as Prague and Budapest next summer — those still scheduled on larger aircraft.

Edinburgh is just the first stop on the A321XLR’s expected European tour.

The A321XLR is designed for long, thin routes: City pairs that don’t have enough demand for a widebody but are too far for existing narrowbodies to fly comfortably and economically — like Charlotte to Venice or Milan. That opens new possibilities on both sides of the Atlantic.

The move aligns with a broader industry shift of airlines sending narrowbodies across the Atlantic. And that’s significant for American, after it had largely ceded the market to rivals but is now leaning back in.

American isn’t alone

Data from aviation analytics firm Cirium show that American, Delta, and United flew about 10,000 long-haul narrowbody flights in 2019 — all on 757s.

This type of flying tapered off through the mid-2010s as the 757 grew less efficient, and the pandemic nearly halted international travel in 2020.

But, with the rising popularity of Airbus’ long-haul narrowbodies, JetBlue revived the trend in 2021, flying its 4,600-mile-range A321LR to cities such as London, Paris, and Amsterdam. Like American, its planes feature a premium-heavy cabin.

That move let JetBlue enter major business markets without investing in a widebody fleet — planes with two aisles that are far more expensive to build and operate and harder to fill consistently in competitive markets.

The inside of a JetBlue A321neoLR with blue lighting.
A JetBlue A321neoLR at the Paris Air Show in June 2023

In 2025, Delta, United, and JetBlue are scheduled to operate more than 14,000 long-haul narrowbody flights, per Cirium. That number is only expected to increase as American joins the mix in 2026.

United Airlines, for its part, has doubled down on the strategy — using Boeing 757s and 737 Max jets to connect the US to smaller leisure European destinations, like Ponta Delgada in the Azores, Portugal, and Tenerife, Spain.

The airline plans to soon replace many of those 757s with its own A321XLRs.

It has also signaled interest in opening more niche transatlantic markets with the aircraft. That could mean new nonstop options from the US East Coast to places like West Africa or Northern Italy — spots that previously required a connection.

In other words, more single-aisle planes are now capable of crossing oceans — and that’s reshaping how people fly long-haul.

Delta has been the outlier, scaling back 757 transatlantic flying and relying more heavily on widebodies. It remains the only major US carrier that has not ordered the A321XLR.

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Tesla rival Polestar closes R&D sites in the UK and lays off 130 staff

Polestar
Polestar is targeting the same upper-mid-tier EV market as Tesla.
  • Polestar is shutting its UK R&D sites and laying off 130 staff.
  • A spokesperson for the EV maker said it was centralizing its R&D in Sweden.
  • Polestar posted a $1.03 billion loss in its second-quarter earnings.

Tesla rival Polestar has shut down its two R&D sites in the UK and laid off 130 staff, Business Insider has learned.

Staff at the Swedish EV maker were notified earlier this month that its R&D efforts would shift from Nuneaton and Coventry in England to its headquarters in Sweden, three sources told Business Insider. The redundancy process is expected to finish by the end of the year, they added.

A Polestar spokesperson confirmed the layoffs to Business Insider.

In an emailed statement, the spokesperson said it no longer requires the R&D capacity in the UK now that the engineering work for the Polestar 5, its upcoming model, is complete.

They added that it was centralizing its R&D work at its headquarters in Sweden.

“With a leaner organisational set-up, our focus remains on developing the best performance EVs on the market,” the spokesperson said, adding that its focus was on supporting those affected by the cuts.

Polestar, which employs 2,100 people globally, has increasingly shifted its focus to Europe as US tariffs have rocked the global auto industry. The Nasdaq-listed company is majority-owned by the Chinese conglomerate Geely, which owns Volvo Cars and Lotus.

Polestar sold a record 2,758 vehicles in the UK last month. However, the luxury carmaker is burning through cash, reporting a net loss of $1.03 billion in the second quarter of 2025.

Its sales also lag behind Tesla. There were just under 8,000 new Tesla registrations in the UK over the same period, according to data from SMMT.

In January 2024, Polestar announced plans to cut 450 jobs globally, which was equivalent to about 15% of its workforce.

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